Bull Steepening All yields fall, with short-term yields likely falling faster. Bond prices rise across the board. When the ...

The yield curve is a graphical representation that plots the interest rates of bonds with equal credit quality but varying maturity dates. A normal yield curve slopes upward, indicating higher ...

North American yield curves are experiencing the steepest inversion of the last 3 decades, while European yield curves have flattened significantly in 2022. In the world of fixed income investing, ...

Lately, all eyes are on the yield curve. We’re not talking about a new type of baseball pitch or a funky traffic sign on a winding mountain pass. We’re talking about the direction of the bond market, ...

Discover how the spot rate Treasury curve—a yield curve from Treasury spot rates—serves as a critical tool for bond pricing and market predictions.

In my 50-plus years of running money, I’ve noticed that the biggest market moves come from factors that have gone unnoticed – and right now, there’s a doozy lurking under the table. Amid all the ...

There are a lot of recession predictors people watch: Some track imports, some track wholesale prices, some even track light truck sales and Statue of Liberty visits. But one of the most watched ...

No foolproof formula predicts the economy in general or recessions in particular, but one of the indicator does a better job than the others: the yield curve. If one plots a chart of interest rates ...

Much has been made about an impending recession. The reasons, however, are seldom discussed, are even less understood, and do little to inform what actions investors should take (if any). Economists ...

Federal Reserve Board Chairman Jerome Powell at a news conference after the June 2022 meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee at the Federal Reserve headquarters in Washington, D.C. The yield ...

The natural slope of the yield curve is positive, meaning short-term interest rates are lower than long-term interest rates. There are periods where the curve inverts and, most importantly, a ...

The “experts” talk about how the U.S. Treasury Curve is currently “inverted.” What does that mean, and should it matter to lenders? The fact is, the yield curve (a graphical representation of yields, ...