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Tonight's Tropical Weather Bulletin focuses on an area of interest that now has a 70% chance of development in the Andaman Sea. This system is likely to develop into a tropical cyclone late this week in the Bay of Bengal, and may then head towards Bangladesh and peak near hurricane strength. The track forecast remains very uncertain, and it should be noted that the storm has better chances of staying strong if it remains further south, due to higher sea surface temperatures. Elsewhere, the remna
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After uncertain forecasts, a tropical depression has finally formed near the southern Philippines, and is around 250km from the coast of Mindanao today. The system has built up a large amount of convection, although it appears that it is quite far away from the low level centre, and wind shear is having a great effect on Kabayan at the moment. Nonetheless, Signal 1 warnings have been raised for southern Samar, Leyte, and a large part of eastern Mindanao with strong winds and heavy rain which cou
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